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rresendes's blog

How Obama Will Change American Capitalism

Whether one feels capitalism is nice or not, empirically there is no debate that no other system governing a society has produced more wealth for all its citizens in a shorter period of time than American capitalism.  No society has been able to produce a better standard of living for its citizens, or generate greater amounts of charity around the world, than America over its short history as a nation. 
The founding concepts behind America that its citizens own the product of their labor and the government exists to preserve those rights has been extraordinarily successful.  Yet it is amazing that there is even a debate as to whether or not that should be the way forward. 
 
This article in the New Republic begins to highlight how Obama will look to fundamentally alter the relationship between the government and American citizens, by claiming that the government is fundamentally entitled to everyone's productivity and thus free to redistribute those efforts at will.  Here is an interesting section of the article.
 
"Finally, there is the sheer size of Obama's intervention. Obama's stimulus program and its budget are going to lift overall government spending from the 30s to well over 40 percent of GDP. Its 2009 budget, along with other public spending, could reach 45 percent of GDP. That's in response to a crisis, but as has happened before, the extent of government intervention is likely to remain permanent."
 

Obamanomics: Does It Make Him a King or Jester?

King or jester?  Obama's views and decisions regarding GM and Chrysler are not looking good for his economic legacy.  This WSJ editorial starts to flesh out many of his decisions and thier likley effects.  It is instructive to read as it provides a perspective on Obama's decisoin making skills which will likely affect many other aspects of our lives.

Tea Parties Unhealthy?

On the Sunday talking head circuit, David Axelrod suggested the Tea Party Movement is unhealthy (story here).  His logic is that Obama will cut taxes for 95% of Americans, so Americans should be happy with his policies. 
 
While a nice sound bite, he is a bit disingenuous.  The Obama administration is: creating record budget deficits - which crowds out private investment; extending government's reach into private businesses - putting government into unfair competition with private firms, and; raising the cost of private investing through increased capital gains and income taxes - which makes it more costly to grow or start businesses.  When such policies are combined with increased carbon taxation, the end result is likely to be less economic freedom and reduced long-term economic growth leading to lower living standards for the typical American.
 
While economists may differ on the aggregate effects of Obama's economic policy prescriptions, calling Tea Parties "unhealthy" is at best a lapse of judgment and at worst a potential indication of how Obama and his team views opposition to his policies.

 

Update - Hat tip to Instapundit.

A Rasmussen poll just released shows the Tea Parties were very well received by the public, with 51% having a favorable view versus 33% with an unfavorable view.  Particularly interesting, 54% of mainstream Democrats viewed Tea Parties favorably.

Not surprisingly, only 13% of the political elites had a favorable view of the events.

Global Warming and Economic Freedom

The public is shifting its view on "global warming" according to a new Rasmussen Report.  Currently 34% of those sampled believe human activity is the cause of "Global Warming", this is a significant decline from 47% a year ago. 

Today 48% feel planetary trends are the root cause of "Global Warming", versus only 34% a year ago.

The "Global Warming" mantra is used by state and national politicians to push for broader and stronger regulations and taxation related to carbon energy. 

As the "conclusive" evidence on climate change is increasingly criticized by the scientific community, it is silly to restructure the economy and reduce living standards until to evidence is conclusive that such a restructuring is critical to America's well being.

By creating highly invasive and complicated tax regimes related to carbon energy, politicians are again pursuing a massive power grab to gain further control of American's economic lives.

It will be interesting to see how this plays out if the public continues to demand harder scientific evidence to accept "Global Warming" as a man-made problem.

Ultimately, personal freedom is only possible through economic freedom. 

Tea Party Roundup

PJTV estimates nationwide Tea Party turnout to be 500,000 +. 

Here is how Daily Kos sums up the events.  Surprised?

Mona Charen discusses the media’s coverage and CNN’s coverage in particular of the Tea Party Movement. This sums up much of story:
 

“The "tea party" rallies went unmentioned. In Washington, D.C., despite temperatures in the 40s and a driving rainstorm, about a thousand demonstrators assembled across from the White House. The front page of the Times found space for a big story with accompanying pictures of competing public demonstrations in Kabul, Afghanistan, but not a word about the American protestors.”

 

Eugene Robinson, of The Washington Post attempts to cast an objective eye at the protests, but exposes his true sympathies with lines such as:

"The made-for-television demonstrations in cities across the country were generally small, and the only thing they proved conclusively is that -- you might want to sit down to hear this -- some Americans don't much enjoy paying taxes."

Here is another perspective he offers on the events:

"The protests were all over the map, and thus hard to take seriously. A reality check would show that Obama's approval rating is running higher than 60 percent in most recent polls."

 

Bush 1 Clueless about Scanners, Obama Clueless About Tea Parties; Both Clueless About...

Bush 1 was justly criticized for his fascination as he witnessed a grocery store clerk using a scanner rather than the cash register to check him out.
 
Obama when asked by ABC about the April 15th Tea Parties says he is not aware of them.
If we take Obama at his word, it indicates he is already well along the way to a very insular, isolated Presidency, similar to the image Bush 1 portrayed. This is troubling, as Obama’s natural tendencies seem to indicate a very tone-deaf leader when “off prompter”. 
 
This is fitting, as each of these mean are tone-deaf with respect to the effects of taxes and economic prosperity.
With regards to Bush 1, he broke his "Read my lips – NO NEW TAXES" pledge to usher in a recession.
Obama has made increasing taxes the center of his economic policy, such that in the depths of a brutal recession he proudly asserts his recovery policies will prevent additional job losses, rather than the massive job creation that has accompanied the typical recovery over the past 50 years.
 

Clueless.

 

Weekly Poll Review - Tax Rates and Constitution

We received many great comments regarding last week’s poll question – Should the Constitution be amended so that a person never pays any more than 49% of his/her income across Federal, State, and Local governments.
 
There seemed to be some confusion about the question, as many thought 49% was way too high of an acceptable income tax level. For example, someone wrote
 
“This Poll is not at all well thought out.  The figure is too high to be considered as legitimate.”
 
We completely agree with that sentiment, but the question was asking should taxes at ALL levels be limited to no more than 49% of an individual’s income. Not only does that include income taxes at the Federal level, but it also includes State income taxes, and Local income taxes. Also included in that 49% figure, are real estate taxes, sales taxes, cigarette and liquor taxes, and various government imposed “user” fees among other taxes. Throw in Social Security to those other taxes, and current “all in” tax rates for some states already exceed 60%. We also agree with the views expressed by other comments. Here is an example:
 
“There is no reason anyone should work 6 month or more out of the year for the government. If government knows there is a limit to what they could tax its citizens, then maybe they would wise up on where they spend our money.”
 
Bottom line, current taxes are too high! We could not agree more.
 

Sunday Follies

This week, two Sunday Funnies.
 
Eleanor Clift is sort of like the Fruit of the Month club of political writers, she is the gift that just keeps on giving. In Lessons From the Gipper, she offers up advice for Republicans in Congress looking to keep their posts, as Obama continues to gain in popularity. Here are a couple Clift nuggets:
 
“Rank and file Democrats love Obama, giving him 88 percent approval in a recent Pew Research Center Poll. Republicans offer up a grudging 27 percent favorable rating, numbers that gibe with another Pew survey that finds voters concluding that partisanship is back, not that it ever went away.
Republicans are not rolling over for Obama the way Democrats did for President Reagan.”
 
First, it is funny how quickly she tosses aside partisanship, when in large part the raison d’être for the Obama campaign was to unify the country. Second, she compares, Democrats giving in to a newly elected popular President that campaigned on a central thesis of giving more freedom back to the individual. How sad, that any party ever has to debate and think about opposing such an idea. 
 
The Republicans in office today are opposing what amounts to a significant shift in the compact between the government and the citizenry.  If Obama’s plans are passed, the federal government will essentially control the health care system by subsidizing the cost of insurance, driving private parties out, expand its role in local education making communities dependent on them for financing, massively increase the welfare rolls by directly sending checks to citizens that do not pay taxes, and the list continues.

Is Good Change Coming?

 

Perception Shapes Reality, But What Shapes Perception?

 

Barney Pawned

Here is a great where Barney Frank is asked about his responsibility for the sub-prime crisis.  How to best describe the interaction?  A friend summed it up best.  The student is so calm and articulate, while Barney appears to be a mental midget.
 

 

Enjoy, and then weep for our country.

 

 

April Monthly Market Review

This is a monthly review of the events driving the stock market.  It is published each month at the website www.valueexpectations.com.

This month the review has an intuitive explanation of how the government will induce private parties to over pay for bank assets as part of Timmy G's toxic asset bailout.

April '09 Monthly Market Review

Tea Party Day Tip 3: Bring a Nutcracker

All the discussions of Acorn trying to crash and sabotage Tea Parties across the country, begs a simple retort.
 
Bring a nutcracker to your Tea Party!
 
If Acorn demonstrates at your Tea Party, just wave a nutcracker at them to let them know government-funded activists will never compete with broad based, pro-freedom, pro-individual based citizen run movements. We will win back our country in the long run!
 

Ideally have someone make a giant foam acorn and nutcracker!

TARP: Temporary Economic Necessity or Permanent Trojan Horse

Listening to how Congress dealt with Bank CEO’s, one would think that the government wants those companies to pay those funds back as quickly as possible. After all, what bank CEO wants to be publicly portrayed as incompetent, a thief, and usurious? Ironically after hurling such expletives to the CEO’s the Congressional panel then demanded to know how long it would take these firms to pay the funds back and make the public whole. Further, what bank wants its best-producing employees to face a 90% tax on any household taxable income above $250,000? Most reasonable CEO’s would want to return that money as quickly as possible.
 
The irony of the Congressional rant, is that the typical Congressman, probably does not know which firms needed TARP versus which were forced to take the funds by Paulson. Paulson’s idea was that if every institution took TARP funds, the public would not really know which banks needed TARP funds to survive from those that merely accepted the funds as a favor to Paulson. This Paulson reasoned would prevent a “signal” to the public that banks accepting TARP funds were close to being insolvent, and thus possibly avoid triggering a run on those banks and further weaken them beyond repair. However, as Congress began to vilify all bank CEO’s, and dictate how these firms must run their businesses, the healthy firms decided it was idiotic for them to keep the TARP money if they did not need it. Logically, the healthy banks decided to start returning the money, but it seems the Obama administration will not allow these banks to pay back the TARP funds. Is this behavior by the Administration puzzling, or just part of a bigger plan for the government to broaden its reach into the economy? Time will tell.
 

Link Fest

Traveling today, so my commentary is a bit on the short side. Here were some of the more interesting articles I read this morning from the Real Clear Politics and Real Clear Markets sites.

Opening day for the White Sox - Sunny and 90's per Global Warming Forecasts.  Nah, high 20's with wing chill.  Where is Al when we need him?

Timmy G. is ready to take on bank managers.  Not sure if he had a Freudian slip with his "when" vs. "If" comment, but regardless it is very bad to continue hearing the government talk about replacing private sector employees.

Was the housing mess Alan's fault?  My friend John Tamny, no Greenspan supporter, argues the weak dollar policies the Treasury pursued over the past 4 years is the real culprit.

If you thought the Congress did a nice job with "home ownership" and the rise of mortgage backed securities, wait until you see what they do with "Cap and Trade" for carbon emissions. 

 

Have a great day.  If you know of anyone involved with a tea party, and they need a website to promote their event and get better organized for future events, please have them visit: www.teapartynexus.com .  We will provide them a free website with administrative rights to post blogs, photos, event notices, and email members for current and future events.  Together we can make a difference.

The Tea Party : Tip 2 - Share Sign Ideas!

Share your favorite sign ideas for the upcoming Tax Tea Parties leading up to the April 15th Tea Parties around the country!

Lets try to get 100 by next week!

 

Be Heard and Make a Difference!

Tax Day Tea Party Tip - Get Talk Radio Involved!

 

Tax Day Tea Parties!
 
11 days away! Who would have thought Tax Day could make such a difference to in the drive to make government fiscally responsible! As organizers continue to harness TeaPartNexus.com to create an interconnected local/national community, lets prepare to think about how to gather reviews from these events to improve the parties for Independence Day Tea Parties!
 
As an organizer, if you are not working with a local talk radio station, please think about reaching out to them to act as an event co-sponsor or at least inform the public. They have a tremendous ability to inform and call citizens to action.
 
If you are working with a radio station, pleas email us the station, and contact information so we can track them and acknowledge their support after the 15th.

 

Here is a link to a national radio station locator.  Find the ones near you and get them involved!  It will tell you the station format and take you to their web page.

Share your success with everyone here - By creating excitement you create results!

 

Be Heard and Make a Difference!

 

G 20

 

The Jackson Diehl of the Washington Post takes a look at Obama's performance during the summit. The article' s opening paragraph sums up the story:

"Barack Obama has proved in the past few days that he can work smoothly and productively with a wide range of foreign leaders -- provided that he allows them to set the agenda."

It seems as though the main economic achievements of the summit revolve around the world adopting Euro-Style market oversight. When exactly was the last time European Economic Policy led the way forward for growth and wealth creation?
My guess is that as history is written on this crisis, Obama's role will be summarized as follows - Here is a man that continued the dubious nationalization policies started by Bush, placed more technocrats than the market, and ultimately through political pandering made the crisis much worse than it should have been. These events will serve as the foundation for a new smaller government movement in 2010.
 

 

Read the entire story here.
 

How Would You Fare in a Progressive World?

Sometimes you just need to laugh.  Enjoy

The Progressive Guilt Test, Take It.

The People's Cube is a hilarious site that mocks socialist and communist approaches to life.

The Power Grab Continues

Powerlineblog.com provides excellent ongoing political analysis, especially regarding legal issues, as the site is run by lawyers living in Washington DC and Minneapolis, Minnesota. 
 
This evening they discuss the administration’s desire to seat representatives from the District of Columbia. Specifically they address the uneven treatment the media accords Republicans versus Democrats through how events get interpreted and presented to the general public. They draw out the example by way of a conflict between the Department of Justice Chief Legal Office (CLO) and Attorney General Holder. Specifically, Holder is ignoring the legal opinion put forward by the CLO that D.C. is not entitled to have a representative seated per their interpretation of the Constitution. They identify the importance of the CLO, which is a professional office, which in theory is not subject to political whims. As a result, during the past 8 years, the media the CLO in very high regard, and its opinions should not be tosses aside lightly. 
 
While the result is likely predictable, how the media reaches those results is interesting.
 

Read the entire story here.

Madera Has Tea Party!

Join us April 15th

Town and Country Park - Pavilion

Corner of Granada and Industrial Blvd

From 6:00 PM to 7:00

 

Be Heard and Make a Difference!

How Rich is Rich?

Www.realclearmarkets.com is a great source of interesting and timely articles on various economic and finance related topics.  Steven Malaga, an editor for the sight wrote a thought provoking article noting how the definition of "rich" seems to creep ever lower as government become ever more lustful for revenue.

The article is very good.  Read it here.

4 Banks Returned TARP Money!

Mark Haines on CNBC reported today that four banks returned their TARP money today.  They are:

Signature Bank, New York - $120 million

Old National Bank Corp., Indiana - $100 million

IberiaBank , Louisiana - $90 million

Bank of Marin, California - $28 million

They returned $400 million in total.

As Confucius said - "The journey of a 1,000 miles begins with a single step." 

Did he add grasshopper at the end of that quote?

Read the whole story here.

GOP’s Alternative Budget Proposal

Congressman Paul Ryan today summarized the House GOP’s budget and contrasted it to the proposal put forward by President Obama (PO).

A few aspects of the GOP budget are very admirable:

1.      It cuts in half the debt PO’s plan will accumulate by 2019.

2.      It freezes spending on discretionary spending, excluding defense, and veteran care.

3.      It attempts to reform Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security – absent a real effort to work on this aspect of the budget, the nation will never achieve a balanced budget given the size of these expenditures.

No Directive 10-289

Please make and carry that sign at the upcoming Tea Parties.

Directive 10-289 is the final step in of a government power grab in Ayn Rand's classic Atlas Shrugged, a novel based on the central idea that personal freedom and economic productivity go hand in hand.

Facing a crumbling economy, the government in the name of "improving things for the people", passes a set of rules to stabilize and improve the economy.  These rules work to promote national economic stability by limiting annoying capitalist disruptions such as employees' quitting to find better jobs, and employers firing underperforming employees to improve their business.  Further the government seeks to prevent the hoarding of intellectual capital and thus insists that it must take ownership of all patents to maximize their value to society.

Predictably the program ends in disaster as the most productive members of society decide to quit working and go on strike - ultimately leading to economic chaos throughout the country.

Read the entire novel passage here.

The Tea Party Movement while symbolized by taxes is ultimately about individual freedom and limited government.

Glenn Beck vs Richard Blumenthal, CT Attorney General on AIG Executive Pay

Glenn Beck pawns the AG, as Beck asks over and over for the AG to cite a specific law that the AIG bonus recipients broke which warranted the government going after them.  See video here.

Blumenthal argues that it is in the public interest to get the money back, but ultimately acknowledges that the AIG executives never broke a law.  It is amazing that a state Attorney General would argue he has the right to prosecute lawful actions while keeping a straight face.  Very scary.

The issue with the AIG bonuses is not whether the executives earned those bonuses given the company's performance.  Each individual executives bonus will be a story onto itself, as told by the Jake DeSantis resignation letter.  The issue is given that the company freely entered into those contracts with each employee, and the company is still solvent, the company must honor its contracts. 

Surprised The Market Is Selling Off?

Does anyone wonder why the markets are scared?  Our Treasury Secretary looks as nervous as Mike Tyson at a spelling bee (thank you Bob and Tom) whenever he has to talk about finance; The administration entertains the idea of the dollar not being the world's reserve currency; The cost to invest via capital gains taxes will increase; Now President Obama (PO) has become a Portfolio Manager deciding to buy GM and sell Chrysler AND hired a new GM CEO.

 

Later today, Obama will essentially announce that he forced GM's CEO Wagoner to resign, and will allow GM infinite time (in 60 day periods) to restructure, while Chrysler will likely go bankrupt in 30 days.

This is another example of how the current government team in Washington DC, insists on taking more control over the economy.  Last Friday, Treasury essentially ask for permission to take over any company it wants under the guise of systemic risk, now the government will run industrial companies.

Markets like fair, consistently applied rules.  Our politicians consistently show the ability to change rules on the fly to garner attention and try to wrestle 15 extra minutes of fame, something markets abhor.  Simutaneously, the more PO reaches to bring his vast business acumen to solve economic problems, the longer our economy will likely underperform.  The current mantra from PO is his UnStimulus will add or save 3 million jobs.  Since when is saving jobs coming out of a deep recession a acceptable goal?  Given how much he is spending, that is such a low standard it will rank among the worst Presidential economic performances in our country's history.  No doubt PO would make a great addition to a business, sadly though he would be in the marketing department not in the CFO office.  All told, it is not surprising the markets have not embraced PO "Change" favorably.

Capitalism Means Freedom

Janet Daley of the Telegraph warns the G20 leaders - If we lose capitalism, we will lose our political freedom.  She concludes:

By all means, we must continue to make the moral case for capitalism, but it seems that we have to make the case for democracy, too. People must not be bullied into believing that economic security must be bought at the price of their political birthright. The operative word in the phrase "free market economics" is "free".

Read the whole article.

How to Spend Money, A Friedman Classic

We will feature various Milton Friedman videos over time as very few people can explain and defend the power of freedom, capitalism, free markets and limited government better than Dr. Friedman.

I attended The University of Chicago Graduate School of Business because of his influence on the school's faculty and intellectual orientation.  While he had moved on to the Hoover Institute by the time I started at Chicago, his influence and lessons have been integral throughout my career. 

Here he discusses the 4 ways to spend money.  You can spend your own money on yourself.  You can spend your own money on someone else.  You can spend someone else's money on yourself.  You can spend someone else's money on someone else.  This forth way is particularly troublesome, and is basically what our current congress and Obama is trying to do allot more of while they are in power.  While the video quality is poor, the audio is very good and will help you better explain one of the key tenets behind the Tea Party Movement.  Enjoy.

 

Note: The last 40 seconds do not have sound, but the lesson is well taught and the reward for your patience is priceless.

The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly

Three different stories out this weekend, related to Obama and his policies.  Bottom line - people are wising up about his budget, in a historical context our financial crisis seems to be "just average", which is bad as things are likely to get worse before they get better, and administration claims that charitable giving will not decline due to Washington's power grab is dare we say nothing more than " Dreams From Poor Policy Advisors". Somehow I do not think this one will be a best seller.